Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds, prediction, betting developments for UFC 257

The UFC’s greatest star is again in motion within the first pay-per-view occasion of the brand new 12 months as Conor McGregor faces Dustin Poirier at UFC 257 on Combat Island in a rematch that has been six years within the making. 

The final time McGregor and Poirier met, the Irish famous person was an unranked fighter who was nonetheless on the rise whereas Poirier was aiming to appreciate his potential on the roster. McGregor formally introduced his arrival with a surprising first-round knockout, and the MMA world hasn’t been the identical since. 

MORE: UFC 257 date, begin time, card, PPV value, odds vs. Dustin Poirier

Whereas McGregor has shaken up the world as the primary UFC fighter to carry world titles in two totally different weight courses concurrently and damaged data as the most important begin the game has ever seen, Poirier has put in a workmanlike effort to get again into place to problem for a world title. 

The model of themselves that they are going to see throughout the Octagon on Saturday night time shall be vastly totally different than the one they met six years in the past. However will the result be the identical, or will Poirier get his long-awaited redemption? 

UFC 257 odds for McGregor vs. Poirier

  • Conor McGregor: -300
  • Dustin Poirier: +240

Odds by way of BetMGM

Within the six and a half years which have handed since their first assembly, McGregor has amassed a report of 6-2 with 5 of his six victories coming by the use of knockout. Outdoors of being submitted by the undefeated Khabib Nurmagomedov, McGregor’s solely different loss throughout this span was towards Nate Diaz two weight courses above his regular preventing weight. He would go on to avenge that loss.

As for Poirier, he has gone 10-2 with 1 No Contest for the reason that McGregor struggle. He, too, suffered a submission loss to Nurmagomedov but in addition misplaced to Michael Johnson by knockout again in 2016. Some could also be shocked to search out that he has defeated 4 former champions throughout his current run with victories over former UFC featherweight champion Max Holloway and stoppage victories towards former light-weight champions Justin Gaethje, Anthony Pettis and Eddie Alvarez. 

However what does this imply for the rematch?

McGregor nonetheless packs dynamite in his left hand however continues to spherical out his putting and takedown protection. He ran roughshod over Donald Cerrone final January, nevertheless it’s laborious to determine what that victory means contemplating that Cerrone has been on a downswing recently. 

Poirier went to conflict with Dan Hooker final June in a Combat of the 12 months candidate that confirmed his great resolve, improved putting and conditioning. He’s the upper ranked fighter resulting from his spectacular resume, however oddsmakers put in McGregor as a fairly hefty favourite (-240) when the struggle was introduced. And people odds proceed to widen as he now sits as a -300 favourite by way of BetMGM. In the meantime, Poirier began off as a 2-1 underdog at +200, and that line has stretched to +240.

This struggle is extraordinarily difficult to determine. Poirier has demonstrated great grappling and has taken out some deadly competitors together with his much-improved putting. The issue is that he nonetheless will get hit much more typically than he ought to, as seen in his brawl with Dan Hooker. He has proven the flexibility to remain calm within the face of the fireplace and collect himself when he’s in bother. 

As for McGregor, the putting stays ferocious, and his killer intuition is profound. However the diploma of issue and exercise doesn’t fairly measure as much as Poirier’s. As a lot as Diaz has confirmed to be a fan favourite, he doesn’t come near what Gaethje and Holloway have completed.

Typical knowledge would recommend that if McGregor goes to get the end, it will be throughout the first two rounds. He has by no means secured a knockout after the second spherical. Due to this, one must assume that Poirier plans to climate the early storm and see what McGregor has within the later rounds. 

Presently, the struggle going over 2.5 rounds is at +150. And it could be the most effective line for a bettor who’s pondering of getting a lift in worth by inserting a wager on Poirier. 

However if you’re a believer in Mystic Mac, taking McGregor -300 would make pairing it with a prop guess a necessity to search out worth. On this case, the struggle ending in beneath 1.5 rounds is a +105. 

McGregor shouldn’t be such an enormous favourite contemplating his inactivity. Needing to position a $300 guess to earn a $100 revenue simply feels too steep of a value to pay, no matter how a lot you’d prefer to assume McGregor goes to win. 

Poirier provides you far more worth. His path to victory is unlikely to be a knockout early, as McGregor has a formidable chin. Nonetheless, there may be mild on the finish of the tunnel if Poirier takes him into the fourth or fifth spherical, the place McGregor is topic to fatigue. As demonstrated in his fights towards Diaz, McGregor is susceptible to fatigue, and it provides Poirier a gap to get the struggle to the canvas. 

MORE: Save over 30% when you buy UFC 257 and an ESPN+ Annual Plan for only $89.98

Poirier should financial institution on McGregor’s conditioning being in query to select up the upset. He’s greater than proficient sufficient within the putting and grappling departments to take action. He is also conscious of McGregor’s energy, and that ought to stop him from foolishly speeding in and preventing as he did towards Hooker. 

If this have been an even-money struggle, it will be simpler to recommend McGregor given his precision putting and talent to finish the bout in a flash. Nonetheless, Poirier has one thing to show, and his being arrange as such a big underdog permits a possible bettor the chance to earn an additional few {dollars} and not using a large funding. 

Don’t guess the home on Poirier, however really feel assured on placing down a strong wager that would yield a considerable revenue.

McGregor vs. Poirier prediction

Picks: Dustin Poirier (+240) and Over 2.5 rounds (+150)

Odds: +240 and +150

McGregor vs. Poirier odds

Whole quantity or rounds: over/beneath

  • Over 1.5: -125
  • Underneath 1.5: +105

Whole quantity or rounds: over/beneath

  • Over 2.5: +150
  • Underneath 2.5: -185

Whole quantity or rounds: over/beneath

  • Over 3.5: +225
  • Underneath 3.5: -275

Will the struggle go the gap?

Technique of victory

  • McGregor by KO/TKO, DQ or Submission: -200
  • McGregor by Choice: +700
  • Tie: +5000
  • Poirier by KO/TKO, DQ or Submission: +475
  • Poirier by Choice: +600

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